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What we know about India Monsoon Forecast Updates so far

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August-September rain likely to be below normal, says IMD

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  1. IMD forecasts below-normal rainfall (less than 94% of LPA) and above-normal temperatures across India for August and September 2026.

  2. El Niño conditions are expected to strengthen, negatively impacting the monsoon's second half.

  3. July 2026 saw a recovery with rainfall at 283.3mm, 1% above the LPA, due to four low-pressure systems over the Bay of Bengal.

  4. IMD recorded 91 lightning-related deaths and 84 flood-related deaths across multiple Indian states in July 2026.

  5. WMO warned that El Niño will dominate global climate patterns in the August-October 2026 season.

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August-September rain likely to be below normal, says IMD · in5points