PoliticsHindustan Times
Online bets on US-Iran ceasefire raise leak concerns
in5points
Over $600,000 in bets were placed on Polymarket predicting a US-Iran ceasefire in April 2026, flagged as potential insider trading.
White House officials raised concerns that anonymous accounts on Polymarket and Kalshi may have used non-public information.
A White House memo in March 2026 prohibited staff from sharing non-public information for financial gain.
President Trump announced an initial ceasefire with Iran on April 8, 2026, matching the wager timing.
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